Bellona Waste Report

Bellona has issued a report stating that there are 21,000 spent fuel assemblies in a storage system that will explode if water leaks in, and that water is leaking in.

It’s kinda flawed.

1. All uncontrolled reactions are not explosions. A reaction can be uncontrolled merely because a person or mechanism is not in charge of it–there were 16 natural nuclear reactors in an African uranium deposit, and they formed in a very similar configuration to this postulated accident. How did they stop? The energy released heated the water and eventually boiled it–and without the water, there’s no reaction. After it shut down, it cooled off, letting the water back in; this process was repeated for millions of years until it simply ran out of fuel. No explosions were involved–it didn’t even disrupt the ore.
2. There will never be a homogeneous mixture. Ceramic does not dissolve in water, there’s no way to get enough water into the fuel assemblies even if it did, and expecting every single one of those 21,000 tubes to open up, let the water in, and not let any of it out afterward is ridiculous.
3. This isn’t gasoline. A critical configuration in one area does not create a critical configuration in another nearby area.

Sounds a bit like the Brookhaven Report, which was written in 1957 with no access to computers, and said that if the core of a nuclear reactor were pulverized and deposited equally into the lungs of 10,000 people, they would die. Well, yes–but what’s your point? The amount of water in a filled bathtub could drown 40,000 people. Blaming nuclear power for things it didn’t, doesn’t, and can’t do doesn’t save lives. It cynically manipulates tragedy for political purposes.

Filed under International, Nuclear Exceptionalism, Physics, Safety

Posted on June 3, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 2 Comments »

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The Nuclear Power Licensing Reform Act of 2007

Rep. Nita Lowey, that eminent friend of nuclear power (joined by woo-woo John Hall as well as Eliot Engel, Maurice Hinchey, and Christopher Shays), is sponsoring a bill intended to make it even more unnecessarily difficult to build a nuclear power plant–or relicense one.

-Require that the NRC determine that plants are safe. In other words, add another piece of paper onto a process that already works.
-Require that the NRC certify that each nuclear power plant doesn’t have security vulnerabilities during the licensing process. In other words, the effects of a terrorist attack are the victims’ fault.
-Add another level of bureaucracy to the evacuation plans requirement, and expand the EPZ to 50 miles. More stakeholders can veto the plan under this proposal than possible today–any state within 50 miles or any federal agency involved in emergency management–increasing the likelihood of Shoreham-type politics.
-Require that the NRC do the same reviews for a renewal that they do for a licensing, most of which are completely pointless, since the design doesn’t change. In reality, all a renewal application should have to prove safety-wise is that a plant’s designed-in safety effects won’t be affected by aging.
-Require the NRC to determine in any relicensing that the population density around the plant hasn’t changed to the point where it is defined as “urban siting,” which is bad for some reason. In other words, shut down Indian Point.

Fortunately, the bill doesn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of getting past President Bush even if it did pass. But we’re going to have to watch out for this in a couple years, when either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton will be eager to prove that they’re tough on these “problems.” Indian Point is going to have a constant fight on its hands come 2009.

Oh, and four Democrats and one Republican do not a bipartisan coalition make. Maybe they put the “coal” in “coalition” (or the “mental” in “environmentalist”), but not much more.

Filed under Emergency Response, Perception, Physics, Politics and Regulation, Safety, Security and Terrorism, Their Actions

Posted on June 1, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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Cancer in Sweden from Chernobyl, or, Why the LNT Needs a Swift Kick

A completely bogus study from Sweden purporting to demonstrate that people are more likely to get cancer if exposed to pre-industrial levels of radiation than if they were exposed to atomic bomb detonations once again raises a question about anti-nuclear groups’ unwavering support of the politically-motivated Linear-No-Threshold radiation impact hypothesis (LNT):

Why on Earth do they support it?

The LNT is, at its core, an assumption. A graph is constructed, with radiation exposure on the horizontal axis and cancer deaths on the vertical axis. The Japanese atomic bombing survivors’ exposure and cancer data is then plotted, and a line is drawn from there to zero radiation and zero cancer.
Seriously.
No low-dose data is included–not from pre-industrial cancer rates, which involved basically the same radiation exposure as today yet were practically nonexistent, and not from the definitive study on the matter, which tracked all the radiation ever received by maintenance crews in Navy nuclear shipyards–and found a mortality rate over 20% lower than their coworkers in non-nuclear shipyards.

But if anti-nuclear groups want a scientific investigation of the health effects of radiation, as they so often claim to do, why do they support an assumption?

Pro-nuclear, anti-nuclear, and in-between organizations all should recognize the fallacy of relying on assumptions, and insist on a well-funded NAS investigation of the health effects of ionizing radiation, with the objective of identifying whether or not there is a threshold, and if there is one, upper and lower bounds.
I call on anti-nuclear groups to show that they have confidence in their claims by submitting them for rigorous peer review.

Filed under Fun With Statistics, Health, Radiation, Research, Their Actions

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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Browns Ferry Update

Anti-nuclear activist Frieda Berryhill has left no turn unstoned in a recently-published conspiracy theory about the Browns Ferry accident in 1975.

She describes the opposition to the Summit reactors, proposed in 1973 and canceled in 1975, for no reason other than the old they-don’t-want-them-as-neighbors argument (which makes about as much sense as the identical argument made against racial integration in the 1960s). They were certainly safe (that type of reactor–a High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (HTGR)–cannot even melt down), would have produced less waste than the average American reactor (approaching Canadian efficiency), and pose zero proliferation threat. They could even have run off of Hope Creek and Salem’s nuclear waste, with some minor processing to change its shape. The “excess capacity” argument doesn’t really hold, either, since a lot of that was oil-fired (and becoming rapidly uneconomic with the 1973 Arab oil embargo), you need some excess capacity in case a major plant breaks down, and electricity demand was growing fast enough to quickly eliminate any cushion.

But here’s where it gets interesting. She says that the Browns Ferry fire in 1975 was somehow covered up by a conspiracy involving the industry periodical Nucleonics Week (which she incorrectly refers to as “Nuclearonics Week”), the industry’s trade association at the time (the Atomic Industrial Forum), and the congressional Joint Committee on Atomic Energy, because somebody at DuPont had not heard of the accident (she also gets 55 Crackpot Points for her use of all-caps, but I digress). Now, if that’s not a damning charge, I don’t know what is.

On top of that, she apparently thinks that Browns Ferry Unit 1’s startup hiccups, which happen to any newly-restarted power plant of any type, mean that the unit will be permanently shut down and decommissioned, wasting $1.8 billion but allowing them to get a license renewal (which they got before the restart) and BILK THE TAXPAYER OF BILLIONS (no specifics on how that will happen). Or maybe they’ll replace a hose and fix a pump, which is what they did.

“Are you on drugs?”

-Judge Chamberlain Haller, My Cousin Vinny

Sadly, this is representative of anti-nuclear opinion–which unfortunately doesn’t get published a whole lot. I have a strong suspicion that we’re rebutting arguments that people don’t worry a lot about (such as the proliferation potential of PUREX) without covering most people’s major concerns and certainly not going on the offensive. For example, most people probably think that there aren’t any nuclear power plants any more, that uranium is a fossil fuel that emits carbon dioxide, and that global warming is caused by human activity per se instead of a physical process that humans are using (carbon combustion). They certainly think that nuclear reactors can explode like atomic bombs. I’ve said it before, but I think the best answer overall is to explain how a nuclear reactor works in conceptual terms (especially to young people, who basically “get” the engineering design process), so that the urban myths don’t get started in the first place. There aren’t a whole lot of urban myths about coal burning, because people understand it. They can’t design a coal burning power plant, but people have internalized the concept of combustion. And I don’t see any reason why somebody who can disassemble and reassemble a Volvo carburetor by memory can’t understand the very simple mechanism behind a nuclear reactor. Again, they’re not designing it; they don’t have a master’s degree in it, but they know how it works. I can (and have) explained to a group of 50% Green, 40% Democrat and 10% Republican students what the difference is between a PWR and RBMK, in 20 minutes, without using the word “moderator,” such that they knew where I was going half-way through an explanation of Chernobyl’s graphite-tipped-control-rods problem. And as those who know me will tell you, I am no master communicator. We just have to abandon our nuclear exceptionalist egos and tell it like it is in ordinary terms.
If we try to make nuclear energy seem impressive and use difficult-to-understand terminology, we’re going to leave the door open for people to just make stuff up. But I know we can do better than that. I know we will do better than that.

Filed under Activism, Clueless, Conspiracy, Crackpots, Terminology

Posted on May 31, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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Anti-Nuclear Quote of the Day

“The sound waves penetrate the tank and the Helium Atoms are heated up and then they bounce into each other causing heat and get very hot by the agitation caused by the sound wave bombardment. This will make heat and with an interior of the tank coated with ceramic coating it will get really hot and stay hot, that heat can then be used to run a coil through the center filled with water which will be your basic steam generator on the exterior, which spins an electric motor. Therefore any power lost from the transmission line is recaptured and therefore there is no loss.

These little tanks can be placed on the ground, prevent that horrible noise that [expletive deleted] of [sic] people and hurts the wild life and disorients them from their normal and natural life cycles and daily patterns. The heat is used, the sound is used and we all win. If you have an idea, which is similar or based upon a similar concept, then maybe you should join a group of thinkers who do not close their minds, turn them off, think out side the box and would like to meet people like you.”

-Power Lines Should Never Be Wasted

Filed under Alternatives, Anti-Nuclear Quote of the Day, Crackpots, Physics

Posted on May 29, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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Hormesis Fungus?

A species of fungus has been found to grow faster while being irradiated by Cesium-137. No, it didn’t mutate and eat Tokyo.

Yes, it’s a preliminary study; yes, it will have to be replicated; yes, it needs to be studied instead of ignored.

Link.

Filed under Health, Radiation, Research

Posted on May 26, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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"Nuclear Waste Per Capita"

I didn’t know it was this easy to get press. Maybe we should pour orange juice into a vacuum breaker and get the NRC’s response on video, or make an inflatable of a polar bear hugging a containment structure, or something like that.

How to turn a five-minute calculation into a “major, startling new report”:

1. Figure out how much nuclear waste was produced by nuclear power plants in each state from publicly-available numbers. Inflate this figure by a factor of 20-30 by ignoring the unused fuel still left in the fuel rods that are in storage.
2. Get population data.
3. Divide.
4. Give it to your state groups to make a hullabaloo, even if the number is all of two pounds.

That’s right. The most nuclear waste that anyone has accumulated per capita around the country is 2.15 pounds. That’s something to be proud of–how much carbon dioxide has accumulated in the atmosphere from coal burning, per capita, and how much particulate matter is in people’s lungs from coal burning, per capita? And how much of that nuclear waste is in the environment?

Zero.

Perversely, this is being used to justify a subsidy for fossil fuels, paid for by the operators of the Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant. In Anti-Nuke World, climate scientists have it all wrong: carbon dioxide doesn’t cause global warming; nuclear power plants do. Sure.

Talk about social responsibility. Yes, nuclear waste is going to be around for a while; a lot longer if we don’t reuse the half-used fuel that poses the biggest part of the waste problem. But so are the Pyramids; the Pyramids have no conceivable use to the generations that have had to live alongside them. Like the Pyramids, there’s no way for it to magically disperse itself into the environment. Like the Pyramids, it doesn’t require any nannying. Like the Pyramids–and unlike chemical toxins from coal burners–it has a finite lifetime. Like the Pyramids, people regard it as magical and not the physical entity that it is.

Let’s cite this study in the future. It looks very useful, not just from the data, but from the source.

More from We Support Lee (plus background on the subsidy here).

Link.

Filed under Activism, Environment, Fun With Statistics, Sustainability, Their Actions, Waste

Posted on May 26, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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GNEP’s International Prospects

The US, Russia, China, France, and Japan have endorsed the concept.

Notice how that doesn’t include any potential customers. While the reprocessing part of GNEP is an excellent step, the overall assumption that Third World countries can’t be trusted with nuclear technology is absolutely wrong. The laws of physics still apply to the Third World, and an inherently-safe reactor built in the United States would be just as inherently safe if it were built in Ethiopia.

Link.

Filed under Fuel Cycle, International, Missing the Point, Physics, Politics and Regulation, Proliferation

Posted on May 26, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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The Radioactivity of Depleted Uranium

Apparently it magically becomes more radioactive when dispersed.

Need more evidence that anti-nuclear activists have joined the creationist war on science?

Filed under Physics, Radiation

Posted on May 22, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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Comments on the Palisades Security Incident

Part 2 of this anti-nuclear email alert contains two major misconceptions.

1. That the security presently used at nuclear power plants is necessary. There is absolutely no point to it; a terrorist couldn’t really do anything if they did get in. It reflects the nuclear industry’s tendency to accomodate requests because they can (not due to necessity) and their penchant for overkill.

2.

“Nuclear plant operators can build all the walls or blast-resistant chambers they want, but if they’re not screening the security personnel, none of that will matter.”

-Rep. Ed Markey, perennial friend of nuclear power

Actually, yes, it all does matter, and physics overrides the intentions of those involved–good or not.

Filed under Physics, Practical Problems, Security and Terrorism

Posted on May 20, 2007 by Stewart Peterson | 0 Comments »

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